{"id":12688,"date":"2026-03-13T15:20:20","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T07:20:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/?p=12688"},"modified":"2026-03-13T15:20:25","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T07:20:25","slug":"citrini-research-2028","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/citrini-research-2028","title":{"rendered":"2028 \u5168\u7403\u667a\u80fd\u5371\u6a5f\uff1a\u5982\u679c AI \u5168\u9762\u52dd\u51fa\uff0c\u8f38\u6389\u7684\u6703\u662f\u6211\u5011\u55ce\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u4e00\u4efd\u4f86\u81ea 2028 \u5e74\u7684\u5099\u5fd8\u9304\uff0c\u8b93\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u84b8\u767c\u4e09\u5343\u5104\u7f8e\u5143<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2026 \u5e74 2 \u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\u7684\u67d0\u500b\u9031\u65e5\u6df1\u591c\uff0c\u4e00\u7bc7 Substack \u6587\u7ae0\u6084\u6084\u5728\u6295\u8cc7\u5708\u6d41\u50b3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5b83\u770b\u8d77\u4f86\u50cf\u4e00\u5c01\u4f86\u81ea\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u4fe1\uff1a<strong>\u300c\u9019\u662f Citrini Research 2028 \u5e74 6 \u6708\u7684\u5b8f\u89c0\u5099\u5fd8\u9304\u2026\u2026\u300d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">48 \u5c0f\u6642\u5f8c\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u56de\u61c9\u4e86\u3002\u6839\u64da\u591a\u5bb6\u8ca1\u7d93\u5a92\u9ad4\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u5f15\u767c\u4e86\u4f30\u8a08\u7d04 <strong>3,000 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u62cb\u552e<\/strong>\uff0cVisa\u3001Mastercard\u3001Uber\u3001DoorDash \u80a1\u50f9\u61c9\u8072\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u7684\u4f5c\u8005\u662f <strong>James Van Geelen<\/strong>\u2014\u2014Citrini Research \u5275\u8fa6\u4eba\u3001Substack \u8ca1\u7d93\u985e\u982d\u865f\u4f5c\u8005\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u53ca\u5171\u540c\u57f7\u7b46\u7684 AI \u5275\u696d\u5bb6\u3001\u524d Citadel \u5206\u6790\u5e2b <strong>Alap Shah<\/strong>\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u6a19\u984c\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.citriniresearch.com\/p\/2028gic\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>\u300aThe 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis\u300b\uff082028 \u5168\u7403\u667a\u80fd\u5371\u6a5f\uff09<\/strong><\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5b83\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4ee4\u4eba\u4e0d\u5bd2\u800c\u6144\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u5982\u679c AI \u7684\u6240\u6709\u6a02\u89c0\u9810\u6e2c\u5168\u90e8\u6210\u771f\u2014\u2014\u751f\u7522\u529b\u7206\u70b8\u3001\u4f01\u696d\u5229\u6f64\u5275\u6b77\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u2014\u2014\u90a3\u9ebc\uff0c\u8ab0\u6703\u662f\u9019\u5834\u7e41\u69ae\u7684\u8f38\u5bb6\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f\u300c\u5e7d\u9748 GDP\u300d\uff08Ghost GDP\uff09\uff1f<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9019\u662f\u6574\u7bc7\u5206\u6790\u6700\u6838\u5fc3\u3001\u4e5f\u6700\u5ee3\u70ba\u8a0e\u8ad6\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5faa\u74b0\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f01\u696d\u8cfa\u9322 \u2192 \u767c\u85aa\u7d66\u54e1\u5de5 \u2192 \u54e1\u5de5\u6d88\u8cbb \u2192 \u5e36\u52d5\u5e02\u5834\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u5faa\u74b0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f46\u5728 Citrini \u63cf\u7e6a\u7684 2028 \u5e74\u60c5\u5883\u4e2d\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u5faa\u74b0\u51fa\u73fe\u4e86\u300c<strong>\u7d93\u6fdf\u8840\u6813<\/strong>\u300d\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>AI \u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u5347\u751f\u7522\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u4f01\u696d\u5229\u6f64\u5275\u65b0\u9ad8<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u4f46\u9019\u4e9b\u5229\u6f64\u4e0d\u6d41\u5411\u54e1\u5de5\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6d41\u5411\u7b97\u529b\u6301\u6709\u8005\u3001\u6578\u64da\u4e2d\u5fc3\u8207 Nvidia<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>GDP \u6578\u5b57\u6301\u7e8c\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u4f46\u6a5f\u5668\u4e0d\u8cb7\u5496\u5561\u3001\u4e0d\u4ea4\u623f\u79df\u3001\u4e0d\u53bb\u65c5\u904a<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u52de\u52d5\u6536\u5165\u4f54 GDP \u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u5f9e 56% \u65b7\u5d16\u5f0f\u8dcc\u843d\u81f3 46%<\/strong>\u2014\u2014\u73fe\u4ee3\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">GDP \u5728\u6f32\uff0c\u4f46\u4eba\u5011\u537b\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u7aae\u3002\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u300c\u5e7d\u9748 GDP\u300d\u2014\u2014\u53ea\u5b58\u5728\u65bc\u7d71\u8a08\u8868\u683c\u4e0a\u3001\u7121\u6cd5\u6d41\u56de\u771f\u5be6\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u589e\u9577\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>AI \u6210\u70ba\u8ac7\u5224\u684c\u4e0a\u7684\u300c\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u300d\uff1aSaaS \u8b77\u57ce\u6cb3\u7684\u5d29\u584c<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>ServiceNow \u6848\u4f8b\uff1a30% \u6298\u6263\uff0c\u9084\u7b97\u662f\u597d\u7d50\u679c<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Citrini \u7684\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u6975\u5177\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u7684\u8ac7\u5224\u5834\u666f\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e00\u5bb6\u8ca1\u661f 500 \u5927\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u63a1\u8cfc\u7d93\u7406\uff0c\u5728 SaaS \u5408\u7d04\u7e8c\u7d04\u8ac7\u5224\u684c\u4e0a\uff0c\u544a\u8a34\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\u7684\u696d\u52d9\u4ee3\u8868\uff1a\u300c\u6211\u5011\u6b63\u5728\u548c OpenAI \u8ac7\uff0c\u8b93\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e2b\u7528 AI \u5de5\u5177\u76f4\u63a5\u53d6\u4ee3\u4f60\u5011\u7684\u7522\u54c1\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6700\u7d42\uff0c\u9019\u4efd\u5408\u7d04\u4ee5 <strong>30% \u6298\u6263<\/strong>\u7e8c\u7d04\u3002\u800c\u9019\u4f4d\u63a1\u8cfc\u4e3b\u7ba1\u7684\u8a55\u8a9e\u662f\uff1a\u300c\u9019\u6a23\u5c31\u7b97\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u4e86\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6839\u64da<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pymnts.com\/artificial-intelligence-2\/2026\/ai-disruption-debate-roils-markets-and-refocuses-risk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> PYMNTS \u7684\u5831\u5c0e<\/a>\uff0c\u9019\u4e26\u975e\u5b64\u7acb\u500b\u6848\u2014\u2014Fortune 500 \u63a1\u8cfc\u5718\u968a\u666e\u904d\u900f\u904e AI Agent \u5f37\u5316\u5167\u90e8\u958b\u767c\u80fd\u529b\u4f5c\u70ba\u7c4c\u78bc\uff0c\u5728 SaaS \u5408\u7d04\u8ac7\u5224\u4e2d\u53d6\u5f97\u5e73\u5747 30% \u7684\u964d\u50f9\u7a7a\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u60c5\u5883\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\uff0cServiceNow \u7684 Q3 2026 \u8ca1\u5831\u6210\u70ba\u6574\u500b SaaS \u5e02\u5834\u5d29\u6f70\u7684\u8f49\u6298\u9ede\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u6de8\u65b0\u589e\u5e74\u5ea6\u5408\u7d04\u50f9\u503c\uff08Net New ACV\uff09\u6210\u9577\u7387\u5f9e <strong>23% \u9a5f\u964d\u81f3 14%<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5ba3\u5e03\u88c1\u54e1 <strong>15%<\/strong>\uff0c\u555f\u52d5\u300c\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u6548\u7387\u8a08\u756b\u300d<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u80a1\u50f9\u55ae\u65e5\u4e0b\u8dcc <strong>18%<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u5a01\u8105\u4e0d\u662f AI \u4e00\u5b9a\u80fd\u5b8c\u7f8e\u53d6\u4ee3\u8edf\u9ad4\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u300c\u8cb7\u65b9\u76f8\u4fe1\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u300d\u9019\u500b\u8a8d\u77e5\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u5c31\u8db3\u4ee5\u6467\u6bc0 SaaS \u6578\u5341\u5e74\u7a4d\u7d2f\u7684\u5b9a\u50f9\u8b77\u57ce\u6cb3\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u9577\u5c3e SaaS \u7684\u751f\u6b7b\u5b58\u4ea1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Monday.com\u3001Zapier\u3001Asana \u9019\u985e\u300c\u9577\u5c3e SaaS\u300d\u53d7\u5275\u66f4\u6df1\u3002\u7576<a href=\"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/openclaw-guide\"> AI Agent<\/a> \u8b93\u4e00\u4f4d\u7a31\u8077\u7684\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e2b\u80fd\u5728\u6578\u9031\u5167\u8907\u88fd\u5176\u6838\u5fc3\u529f\u80fd\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u5e73\u53f0\u7684\u8b70\u50f9\u7a7a\u9593\u4fbf\u6025\u901f\u840e\u7e2e\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u9032\u5165\u4e86\u4e00\u5834\u300c\u5411\u4e0b\u7af6\u722d\u7684\u5200\u92d2\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u6d88\u5931\u7684\u300c\u6469\u64e6\u7a05\u300d\uff1a\u4f60\u4ee5\u70ba\u7684\u7fd2\u6163\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u4fe1\u606f\u4e0d\u5c0d\u7a31<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u50b3\u7d71\u884c\u696d\u7684\u8a31\u591a\u5229\u6f64\uff0c\u672c\u8cea\u4e0a\u662f\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u300c\u61f6\u5f97\u6bd4\u50f9\u300d\u8207\u300c\u4eba\u985e\u60f0\u6027\u300d\u4e4b\u4e0a\u7684\u79df\u91d1\u2014\u2014Citrini \u7a31\u4e4b\u70ba\u300c<strong>\u6469\u64e6\u7a05<\/strong>\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f46 AI Agent \u6c92\u6709\u60f0\u6027\uff0c\u6c92\u6709\u7fd2\u6163\uff0c\u6c92\u6709\u54c1\u724c\u5fe0\u8aa0\u3002\u5b83\u80fd\u4ee5\u79d2\u70ba\u55ae\u4f4d\u6383\u63cf\u5168\u7403\u6700\u512a\u8def\u5f91\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Citrini \u5206\u6790\u4e2d\u9810\u898b\u7684\u591a\u7c73\u8afe\u9aa8\u724c\u4f9d\u5e8f\u5012\u4e0b\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u65c5\u904a\u9810\u8a02\u5e73\u53f0<\/strong>\uff1aAI Agent \u80fd\u66f4\u5feb\u3001\u66f4\u4fbf\u5b9c\u5730\u7d44\u5408\u5b8c\u6574\u884c\u7a0b\uff0cBooking.com \u8207 Expedia \u7684\u4e2d\u4ecb\u50f9\u503c\u6d88\u5931<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u4fdd\u96aa\u8207\u7406\u8ca1\u9867\u554f<\/strong>\uff1a\u6240\u6709\u300c\u6211\u5e6b\u4f60\u641e\u5b9a\u8907\u96dc\u6d41\u7a0b\u300d\u7684\u670d\u52d9\uff0c\u90fd\u5c07\u88ab AI \u53d6\u4ee3<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u652f\u4ed8\u9ad4\u7cfb<\/strong>\uff1aMastercard \u8207 Visa \u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u62bd\u6210\u8b77\u57ce\u6cb3\uff0c\u9762\u81e8 AI Agent \u900f\u904e\u7a69\u5b9a\u5e63\uff08Solana\u3001\u4ee5\u592a\u574a L2\uff09\u7e5e\u904e\u50b3\u7d71\u5237\u5361\u901a\u8def\u7684\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u885d\u64ca<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u300c\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u8b77\u57ce\u6cb3\uff0c\u662f\u7531\u6469\u64e6\u780c\u6210\u7684\u3002\u300d\u2014\u2014Citrini Research<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u96b1\u85cf\u5728\u6c34\u4e0b\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u9023\u9396\u53cd\u61c9<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u79c1\u4eba\u4fe1\u8cb8\u7684\u300c\u4f30\u503c\u9677\u9631\u300d<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u904e\u53bb 15 \u5e74\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u79c1\u4eba\u57fa\u91d1\uff08Private Credit\uff09\u5c07\u8cc7\u91d1\u8cb8\u7d66 SaaS \u4f01\u696d\uff0c\u5047\u8a2d\u662f\u300c\u7d93\u5e38\u6027\u6536\u5165\uff08ARR\uff09\u6c38\u9060\u589e\u9577\u300d\u3002\u4e00\u65e6 AI \u6253\u7834\u5b9a\u50f9\u5047\u8a2d\u5c0e\u81f4\u9055\u7d04\uff0c\u9019 2.5 \u5146\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u79c1\u4eba\u4fe1\u8cb8\u5e02\u5834\u5c07\u9762\u81e8\u5e95\u5c64\u8cc7\u7522\u7e2e\u6c34\u7684\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u5d29\u6f70\u2014\u2014\u4e0d\u662f 2008 \u5e74\u5f0f\u7684\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8cc7\u7522\u672c\u8eab\u50f9\u503c\u6c38\u4e45\u53d7\u640d\u3002\u7279\u5225\u662f\u91d1\u878d\u696d\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/infrastructure_solutions_financial\">AI \u57fa\u790e\u8a2d\u65bd\u7684\u90e8\u7f72\u65b9\u5f0f<\/a>\u5c07\u76f4\u63a5\u6c7a\u5b9a\u8ab0\u80fd\u5728\u9019\u6ce2\u885d\u64ca\u4e2d\u4e3b\u52d5\u4f54\u4f4d\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u88ab\u52d5\u53d7\u5bb3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u623f\u8cb8\u5e02\u5834\uff1a\u5b8c\u7f8e\u7684 FICO\uff0c\u5931\u53bb\u4fdd\u8b77\u7684\u6536\u5165<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2008 \u5e74\u7684\u5371\u6a5f\u662f\u300c\u8cb8\u6b3e\u672c\u8eab\u6709\u554f\u984c\u300d\uff1bCitrini \u63cf\u7e6a\u7684 2028 \u5e74\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u662f\u300c<strong>\u4e16\u754c\u8b8a\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u8cb8\u6b3e\u9084\u5728<\/strong>\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u60c5\u5883\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e00\u4f4d\u5e74\u85aa 18 \u842c\u7f8e\u5143\u3001\u4fe1\u7528\u8a55\u5206 780 \u7684\u9ad8\u85aa\u767d\u9818\uff0c\u5728 AI \u885d\u64ca\u4e0b\u53ea\u80fd\u627e\u5230\u5e74\u85aa 9 \u842c\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u4fe1\u7528\u5f9e\u672a\u6709\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u4f46\u6536\u5165\u767c\u751f\u4e86\u6c38\u4e45\u6027\u4e0b\u4fee\u300213 \u5146\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4f4f\u5b85\u623f\u8cb8\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u9019\u7fa4\u300c\u5b8c\u7f8e\u501f\u6b3e\u4eba\u300d\u7684\u6536\u5165\u5047\u8a2d\u4e0a\u2014\u2014\u800c\u9019\u500b\u5047\u8a2d\u6b63\u5728\u74e6\u89e3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u9019\u5834\u5371\u6a5f\u771f\u7684\u6703\u767c\u751f\u55ce\uff1f\u7406\u6027\u7684\u4e09\u500b\u53cd\u99c1<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Citrini \u81ea\u5df1\u4e5f\u627f\u8a8d\u9019\u4e0d\u662f\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u60c5\u5883\u5206\u6790\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u9019\u500b\u9810\u8a00\u6700\u503c\u5f97\u8cea\u7591\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>1. \u4eba\u985e\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u5275\u9020\u80fd\u529b<\/strong> \u6bcf\u6b21\u6280\u8853\u9769\u547d\u90fd\u4f4e\u4f30\u4e86\u65b0\u8077\u696d\u51fa\u73fe\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u30021990 \u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u4eba\u7121\u6cd5\u60f3\u50cf\u300c\u63d0\u793a\u8a5e\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e2b\u300d\u6216\u300cAI \u7522\u54c1\u7d93\u7406\u300d\u7684\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u554f\u984c\u53ea\u662f\uff1a\u9019\u6b21\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5920\u5feb\u55ce\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>2. \u6642\u9593\u7dda\u904e\u65bc\u6fc0\u9032<\/strong> \u5927\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u6c7a\u7b56\u9031\u671f\u901a\u5e38\u70ba 12\u201318 \u500b\u6708\uff1b\u6cd5\u898f\u8207\u5de5\u6703\u7684\u62b5\u6297\u4e5f\u6703\u6e1b\u7de9\u885d\u64ca\u50b3\u5c0e\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u3002\u5fb7\u610f\u5fd7\u9280\u884c\u7b56\u7565\u5e2b Jim Reid \u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u300c\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u7684\u6558\u4e8b\u8207\u60c5\u7dd2\u6210\u5206\u9ad8\u65bc\u786c\u6578\u64da\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>3. \u901a\u7e2e\u7d05\u5229\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u70ba\u7de9\u885d<\/strong> \u7576 AI \u5927\u5e45\u58d3\u4f4e\u5546\u54c1\u8207\u670d\u52d9\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u540d\u7fa9\u6536\u5165\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5be6\u969b\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\u672a\u5fc5\u540c\u6b65\u7e2e\u6e1b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>AI \u6642\u4ee3\u7684\u4f01\u696d\u751f\u5b58\u555f\u793a\uff1a\u7b97\u529b\u6c7a\u5b9a\u8a71\u8a9e\u6b0a<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Citrini \u5099\u5fd8\u9304\u4e2d\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u53cd\u76f4\u89ba\u7684\u7d50\u8ad6\uff1a\u5728\u9019\u5834\u885d\u64ca\u4e2d\uff0c<strong>\u7b97\u529b\u7684\u64c1\u6709\u8005\u662f\u6700\u5927\u8d0f\u5bb6<\/strong>\u3002\u8ca1\u5bcc\u4e0d\u662f\u6d41\u5411\u4e86\u4eba\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6d41\u5411\u4e86\u7b97\u529b\u672c\u8eab\u2014\u2014GPU\u3001\u6578\u64da\u4e2d\u5fc3\u3001\u6a21\u578b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9019\u610f\u5473\u8457\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/what-is-ai-infrastructure\"><strong>AI \u57fa\u790e\u8a2d\u65bd<\/strong><\/a><strong>\u7684\u638c\u63a7\u529b\uff0c\u6b63\u6210\u70ba\u65b0\u6642\u4ee3\u6700\u6838\u5fc3\u7684\u7af6\u722d\u58c1\u58d8<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7576\u4e00\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u80fd\u5920\u81ea\u4e3b\u8abf\u5ea6\u7b97\u529b\uff0c\u5b83\u5c31\u80fd\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5728 SaaS \u8ac7\u5224\u684c\u4e0a\u64c1\u6709\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u7c4c\u78bc\uff08\u800c\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u5a01\u8105\uff09<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5c07 AI \u6548\u7387\u7d05\u5229\u7559\u5728\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u640d\u76ca\u8868\u4e0a\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u4ea4\u7d66\u96f2\u7aef\u670d\u52d9\u5546<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5728\u300c\u5e7d\u9748 GDP\u300d\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u88e1\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u751f\u7522\u8ca1\u5bcc\u7684\u4e00\u65b9\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u88ab\u53d6\u4ee3\u7684\u4e00\u65b9<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u503c\u5f97\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u662f\uff1a\u4f01\u696d\u9078\u64c7<a href=\"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/cloud-or-on-premises\">\u96f2\u7aef\u6216\u5730\u7aef\u90e8\u7f72 AI \u7b97\u529b<\/a>\uff0c\u5c07\u76f4\u63a5\u6c7a\u5b9a\u5728\u9019\u5834\u8ca1\u5bcc\u91cd\u5206\u914d\u4e2d\u7ad9\u5728\u54ea\u4e00\u5074\u3002\u6301\u7e8c\u4f9d\u8cf4\u7b2c\u4e09\u65b9\u96f2\u7aef\uff0c\u5c31\u7b49\u540c\u65bc\u8b93\u7b97\u529b\u7d05\u5229\u6301\u7e8c\u5916\u6d41\uff1b\u800c\u5efa\u7acb\u81ea\u4e3b\u53ef\u63a7\u7684<a href=\"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/how-to-increase-gpu-utilization\"> GPU \u8cc7\u6e90\u7ba1\u7406\u80fd\u529b<\/a>\uff0c\u624d\u662f\u771f\u6b63\u5c07\u7b97\u529b\u512a\u52e2\u5167\u5316\u70ba\u4f01\u696d\u8b77\u57ce\u6cb3\u7684\u8def\u5f91\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u5e38\u898b\u554f\u984c\uff08FAQ\uff09<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Q\uff1a\u300a2028 \u5168\u7403\u667a\u80fd\u5371\u6a5f\u300b\u662f\u771f\u5be6\u9810\u6e2c\u55ce\uff1f<\/strong> A\uff1a\u4e0d\u662f\u3002\u9019\u662f Citrini Research \u7684 James Van Geelen \u8207 Alap Shah \u65bc 2026 \u5e74 2 \u6708\u767c\u8868\u5728 Substack \u7684\u60c5\u5883\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u4ee5\u300c\u5047\u8a2d AI \u5168\u9762\u6210\u529f\u300d\u70ba\u524d\u63d0\uff0c\u63a8\u6f14\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u7e3d\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u885d\u64ca\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u660e\u78ba\u8868\u793a\u9019\u662f\u601d\u60f3\u5be6\u9a57\uff0c\u975e\u9810\u6e2c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Q\uff1a\u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f\u300c\u5e7d\u9748 GDP\u300d\uff08Ghost GDP\uff09\uff1f<\/strong> A\uff1a\u6307 AI \u9a45\u52d5\u7684\u751f\u7522\u529b\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u8b93 GDP \u6578\u5b57\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u4e9b\u589e\u9577\u4e0d\u900f\u904e\u85aa\u8cc7\u9032\u5165\u5bb6\u5ead\u6d88\u8cbb\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u7b97\u529b\u6301\u6709\u8005\u3002GDP \u6f32\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u4e00\u822c\u4eba\u611f\u53d7\u4e0d\u5230\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Q\uff1a\u9019\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u771f\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u4e86\u5e02\u5834\u55ce\uff1f<\/strong> A\uff1a\u662f\u7684\u3002\u6587\u7ae0\u767c\u5e03\u5f8c 48 \u5c0f\u6642\u5167\uff0c\u591a\u5bb6\u8ca1\u7d93\u5a92\u9ad4\u5831\u5c0e\u5176\u5f15\u767c\u7d04 3,000 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u62cb\u552e\uff0cVisa\u3001Mastercard \u7b49\u80a1\u7968\u5747\u53d7\u6ce2\u53ca\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Q\uff1aAI \u885d\u64ca\u5c0d\u53f0\u7063\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u555f\u793a\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f<\/strong> A\uff1a\u53f0\u7063\u4f01\u696d\u5728\u7b97\u529b\u57fa\u790e\u8a2d\u65bd\uff08GPU\/\u4f3a\u670d\u5668\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\uff09\u4e0a\u5177\u6709\u5929\u7136\u512a\u52e2\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u4e5f\u9762\u81e8\u8207\u5168\u7403\u767d\u9818\u5e02\u5834\u76f8\u540c\u7684 AI \u885d\u64ca\u3002\u63d0\u524d\u90e8\u7f72\u81ea\u4e3b AI \u7b97\u529b\uff0c\u662f\u5c07 Citrini \u60c5\u5883\u4e2d\u7684\u300c\u98a8\u96aa\u300d\u8f49\u5316\u70ba\u300c\u7af6\u722d\u512a\u52e2\u300d\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u8def\u5f91\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u7d50\u8a9e\uff1a\u91d1\u7d72\u96c0\u9084\u6d3b\u8457\uff0c\u4f46\u7926\u5751\u7684\u7a7a\u6c23\u5728\u6539\u8b8a<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Citrini \u7684\u539f\u6587\u4ee5\u4e00\u53e5\u8a71\u4f5c\u7d50\uff1a\u300c\u91d1\u7d72\u96c0\u9084\u6d3b\u8457\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u8457\u7926\u5751\u7684\u6bd2\u6c23\u9084\u6c92\u5b8c\u5168\u8513\u5ef6\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u9084\u6709\u6642\u9593\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9019\u4e0d\u662f\u672b\u65e5\u9810\u8a00\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u6b21\u5f37\u8feb\u6211\u5011\u6aa2\u8996\u300c\u57fa\u672c\u5047\u8a2d\u300d\u7684\u601d\u60f3\u5be6\u9a57\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f60\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5546\u696d\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u300c\u767d\u9818\u6d88\u8cbb\u6c38\u9060\u589e\u9577\u300d\u7684\u5047\u8a2d\u4e0a\uff1f\u4f60\u7684\u7d44\u7e54\u88e1\uff0c\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u300c\u6469\u64e6\u7a05\u300d\u6b63\u5728\u7b49\u5f85\u88ab AI \u6e05\u96f6\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u800c\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u554f\u984c\u6216\u8a31\u662f\uff1a\u5728 AI \u91cd\u7d44\u8ca1\u5bcc\u6d41\u5411\u7684\u65b0\u4e16\u754c\u88e1\uff0c\u4f60\u662f\u7ad9\u5728\u7b97\u529b\u7684\u54ea\u4e00\u5074\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u672c\u6587\u6539\u7de8\u81ea Citrini Research\u300c<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.citriniresearch.com\/p\/2028gic\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis<\/em><\/a><em>\u300d\u60c5\u5883\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u4e26\u52a0\u5165 INFINITIX \u89c0\u9ede\u8207\u88dc\u5145\u8aaa\u660e\u3002\u539f\u59cb\u5831\u544a\u7531 James Van Geelen\uff08Citrini Research \u5275\u8fa6\u4eba\uff09\u8207 Alap Shah \u5171\u540c\u64b0\u5beb\uff0c\u767c\u8868\u65bc 2026 \u5e74 2 \u6708\u3002\u76f8\u95dc\u5a92\u9ad4\u5831\u5c0e\u53ef\u53c3\u8003<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2026\/02\/23\/will-ai-take-my-job-cause-recession-crash-james-val-geelen-citrini\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em> <\/em><em>Fortune<\/em><\/a><em> \u8207<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/next\/2026\/02\/26\/ai-doomsday-new-thought-experiment-warns-of-social-and-economic-upheaval-by-2028\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em> <\/em><em>Euronews<\/em><\/a><em> \u7684\u6df1\u5ea6\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/what-is-ai-infrastructure\">AI \u57fa\u790e\u8a2d\u65bd\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f\u4f01\u696d\u5c0e\u5165 AI \u5fc5\u77e5\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u6982\u5ff5<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/cloud-or-on-premises\">\u4f01\u696d\u5c0e\u5165 AI\uff1a\u96f2\u7aef vs. \u5730\u7aef\uff0c\u4e94\u5927\u9762\u5411\u5b8c\u6574\u5206\u6790<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/how-to-increase-gpu-utilization\">\u4f01\u696d\u5982\u4f55\u63d0\u5347 GPU \u4f7f\u7528\u7387\uff1fAI-Stack \u4e09\u5927\u6838\u5fc3\u6280\u8853\u89e3\u6790<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/ai-stack-architecture\">AI-Stack \u67b6\u69cb\u5168\u9762\u89e3\u6790\uff1a\u6253\u9020\u4f01\u696d\u7d1a AI \u7b97\u529b\u5e73\u53f0<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e00\u4efd\u4f86\u81ea 2028 \u5e74\u7684\u5099\u5fd8\u9304\uff0c\u8b93\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u84b8\u767c\u4e09\u5343\u5104\u7f8e\u5143 2026 \u5e74 2 \u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\u7684\u67d0\u500b\u9031\u65e5\u6df1\u591c\uff0c\u4e00\u7bc7 Substack \u6587\u7ae0\u6084\u6084\u5728\u6295\u8cc7\u5708\u6d41\u50b3\u3002 \u5b83\u770b\u8d77\u4f86\u50cf\u4e00\u5c01\u4f86\u81ea\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u4fe1\uff1a\u300c\u9019\u662f Citrini Res&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":253372376,"featured_media":12689,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_crdt_document":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[96987580,96987573],"tags":[96988433],"class_list":["post-12688","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ai-news","category-featured-articles","tag-citrini"],"blocksy_meta":[],"acf":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ai-stack.ai\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/%E6%A8%A1%E5%9E%8BA-19-0628171a-0628171a.jpg?fit=1920%2C1080&quality=100&ct=202603031250&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/ph344V-3iE","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12688","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/253372376"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12688"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12688\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12693,"href":"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12688\/revisions\/12693"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12689"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12688"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12688"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ai-stack.ai\/zh-hant\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12688"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}